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Optimal Initial Error Growth in the Prediction of the Kuroshio Large Meander Based on a High-resolution Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 11, 页码: 1362-1372
作者:  Li, Xia;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(16199Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：336/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
Kuroshio large meander  predictability  ROMS  optimal initial error growth  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：402/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
Present Climate Evaluation and Added Value Analysis of Dynamically Downscaled Simulations of CORDEX-East Asia 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 卷号: 57, 期号: 10, 页码: 2317-2341
作者:  Li, Delei;  Yin, Baoshu;  Feng, Jianlong;  Dosio, Alessandro;  Geyer, Beate;  Qi, JiFeng;  Shi, Hongyuan;  Xu, Zhenhua
Adobe PDF(29640Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：191/0  |  提交时间：2019/05/15
Asia  Climate models  Ensembles  Model evaluation  performance  
The Concept of Large-Scale Conditioning of Climate Model Simulations of Atmospheric Coastal Dynamics: Current State and Perspectives 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERE, 2018, 卷号: 9, 期号: 9, 页码: 16
作者:  von Storch, Hans;  Cavicchia, Leone;  Feser, Frauke;  Li, Delei
Adobe PDF(5607Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：171/0  |  提交时间：2019/05/15
dynamical downscaling  spectral nudging  coastal phenomena  storms  
Study of the wind drag coefficient during the storm Xaver in the German Bight using data assimilation 期刊论文
DYNAMICS OF ATMOSPHERES AND OCEANS, 2018, 卷号: 83, 页码: 64-74
作者:  Zheng, Xiangyang;  Mayerle, Roberto;  Wang, Yebao;  Zhang, Hua
Adobe PDF(2114Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：251/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
German Bight  Wind drag coefficient  4Dvar  Storm surge modeling  
The Nonlinear Optimal Triggering Perturbation of the Kuroshio Large Meander and Its Evolution in a Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2018, 卷号: 48, 期号: 8, 页码: 1771-1786
作者:  Liu, Xia;  Mu, Mu;  Wang, Qiang
Adobe PDF(8532Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：256/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/23
North Pacific Ocean  Nonlinear dynamics  Forecasting techniques  Primitive equations model  Interdecadal variability  
El Nino-Southern Oscillation complexity 期刊论文
NATURE, 2018, 卷号: 559, 期号: 7715, 页码: 535-545
作者:  Timmermann, Axel;  An, Soon-Il;  Kug, Jong-Seong;  Jin, Fei-Fei;  Cai, Wenju;  Capotondi, Antonietta;  Cobb, Kim;  Lengaigne, Matthieu;  McPhaden, Michael J.;  Stuecker, Malte F.;  Stein, Karl;  Wittenberg, Andrew T.;  Yun, Kyung-Sook;  Bayr, Tobias;  Chen, Han-Ching;  Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu;  Dewitte, Boris;  Dommenget, Dietmar;  Grothe, Pamela;  Guilyardi, Eric;  Ham, Yoo-Geun;  Hayashi, Michiya;  Ineson, Sarah;  Kang, Daehyun;  Kim, Sunyong;  Kim, WonMoo;  Lee, June-Yi;  Li, Tim;  Luo, Jing-Jia;  McGregor, Shayne;  Planton, Yann;  Power, Scott;  Rashid, Harun;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Santoso, Agus;  Takahashi, Ken;  Todd, Alexander;  Wang, Guomin;  Wang, Guojian;  Xie, Ruihuang;  Yang, Woo-Hyun;  Yeh, Sang-Wook;  Yoon, Jinho;  Zeller, Elke;  Zhang, Xuebin
Adobe PDF(4608Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：466/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/23
An improved simulation of the 2015 El Nio event by optimally correcting the initial conditions and model parameters in an intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 卷号: 51, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 269-282
作者:  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan
Adobe PDF(3230Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：289/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
The 2015 El Nino event  ICM  The CNOP-based approach  Optimal bias corrections to ICs and MPs  
The Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations in CFSv2 Forecasts: Biases and Importance of Improving Air-Sea Interaction Processes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 卷号: 31, 期号: 14, 页码: 5351-5370
作者:  Li, Yuanlong;  Han, Weiqing;  Wang, Wanqiu;  Zhang, Lei;  Ravichandran, M.
Adobe PDF(3126Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：266/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
Monsoons  Sea surface temperature  Air-sea interaction  Forecasting  Intraseasonal variability  
ENSO Predictions in an Intermediate Coupled Model Influenced by Removing Initial Condition Errors in Sensitive Areas: A Target Observation Perspective 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 7, 页码: 853-867
作者:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Adobe PDF(1354Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：343/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
El Nino prediction  initial condition errors  target observations