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Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
Authors:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
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La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
Authors:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
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ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
Authors:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
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Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast  
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 卷号: 48, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1173-1185
Authors:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
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Indian Ocean Dipole  Sensitive Areas  Winter Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  
Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2015, 卷号: 2, 期号: 2, 页码: 226-236
Authors:  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Chen, Dake;  Yu, Weidong
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Atmosphere  Ocean  Predictability  Target Observation  
Influence of positive and negative Indian Ocean Dipoles on ENSO via the Indonesian Throughflow: Results from sensitivity experiments 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2015, 卷号: 32, 期号: 6, 页码: 783-793
Authors:  Zhou Qian;  Duan Wansuo;  Mu Mu;  Feng Rong
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Iod  Pacific Ocean  Enso  Indonesian Throughflow  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
Authors:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
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Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Study on the "winter persistence barrier" of Indian Ocean dipole events using observation data and CMIP5 model outputs 期刊论文
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 卷号: 118, 期号: 3, 页码: 523-534
Authors:  Feng, Rong;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, LASG, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
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Application of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation to targeted observation studies of the atmosphere and ocean 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH, 2014, 卷号: 28, 期号: 5, 页码: 923-933
Authors:  Mu Mu;  Wang Qiang;  Duan Wansuo;  Jiang Zhina;  Wang, Q (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
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Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Targeted Observation  Enso  Kuroshio Path Variations  Blocking  
The role of nonlinearities associated with air-sea coupling processes in El Nino's peak-phase locking 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2013, 卷号: 56, 期号: 11, 页码: 1988-1996
Authors:  Duan WanSuo;  Zhang Rui;  Yu YanShan;  Tian Ben;  Duan, WS
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El Nino Event  Nonlinearity  Optimal Perturbation  Numerical Model