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Effects of Wind Stress Uncertainty on Short-Term Prediction of the Kuroshio Extension State Transition Process 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2023, 卷号: 53, 期号: 12, 页码: 2751-2771
作者:  Zhang, Hui;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun;  Geng, Yu
Adobe PDF(13027Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:29/0  |  提交时间:2024/04/07
Wind  Forecast verification/skill  Numerical weather prediction/forecasting  Mesoscale models  
Optimally growing initial error for predicting the sudden shift in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport and its application to targeted observation 期刊论文
OCEAN DYNAMICS, 2022, 页码: 16
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Zhang, Kun;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5567Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:153/0  |  提交时间:2023/01/04
The Antarctic Circumpolar Current  Initial errors  CNOP  Targeted observation  Ocean prediction  
Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration on Extended-Range Prediction of Strong and Long-Lasting Ural Blocking Events in Winter 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2022, 卷号: 127, 期号: 5, 页码: 15
作者:  Ma, Xueying;  Mu, Mu;  Dai, Guokun;  Han, Zhe;  Li, Chunxiang;  Jiang, Zhina
Adobe PDF(13412Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:181/0  |  提交时间:2022/07/15
Optimal Precursors Triggering Sudden Shifts in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current Transport Through Drake Passage 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2021, 卷号: 126, 期号: 12, 页码: 19
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(4661Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:195/0  |  提交时间:2022/02/18
Antarctic Circumpolar Current  optimal precursors  short-range prediction  baroclinic instability  CNOP  
North Pacific Upper-Ocean Cold Temperature Biases in CMIP6 Simulations and the Role of Regional Vertical Mixing 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 卷号: 33, 期号: 17, 页码: 7523-7538
作者:  Zhu, Yuchao;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Sun, Jichang
Adobe PDF(3067Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:250/0  |  提交时间:2021/04/14
The Optimal Precursor of El Nino in the GFDL CM2p1 Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2020, 卷号: 125, 期号: 3, 页码: 14
作者:  Yang, Zeyun;  Fang, Xianghui;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(4470Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:207/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/24
optimal precursor  ENSO  CNOP  GFDL CM2p1  PPSO  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
作者:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
Adobe PDF(817Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:237/2  |  提交时间:2018/01/11
Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast  
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 卷号: 48, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1173-1185
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5307Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:248/0  |  提交时间:2017/04/05
Indian Ocean Dipole  Sensitive Areas  Winter Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  
Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2015, 卷号: 2, 期号: 2, 页码: 226-236
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Chen, Dake;  Yu, Weidong
Adobe PDF(436Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:278/3  |  提交时间:2015/07/27
Atmosphere  Ocean  Predictability  Target Observation  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:279/0  |  提交时间:2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth