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Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration on Extended-Range Prediction of Strong and Long-Lasting Ural Blocking Events in Winter 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2022, 卷号: 127, 期号: 5, 页码: 15
作者:  Ma, Xueying;  Mu, Mu;  Dai, Guokun;  Han, Zhe;  Li, Chunxiang;  Jiang, Zhina
Adobe PDF(13412Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：143/0  |  提交时间：2022/07/15
The Optimal Precursor of El Nino in the GFDL CM2p1 Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2020, 卷号: 125, 期号: 3, 页码: 14
作者:  Yang, Zeyun;  Fang, Xianghui;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(4470Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：186/0  |  提交时间：2020/09/24
optimal precursor  ENSO  CNOP  GFDL CM2p1  PPSO  
A useful approach to sensitivity and predictability studies in geophysical fluid dynamics: conditional non-linear optimal perturbation 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2020, 卷号: 7, 期号: 1, 页码: 214-223
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Sun, Guodong
Adobe PDF(686Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：142/0  |  提交时间：2020/09/22
CNOP  non-linear optimization  atmosphere  ocean  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：398/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
A new approach to identify the sensitivity and importance of physical parameters combination within numerical models using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) model as an example 期刊论文
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2017, 卷号: 128, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 587-601
作者:  Sun, Guodong;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1336Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：212/0  |  提交时间：2017/07/05
Optimal Initial Excitations of Decadal Modification of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation under the Prescribed Heat and Freshwater Flux Boundary Conditions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2016, 卷号: 46, 期号: 7, 页码: 2029-2047
作者:  Zu, Ziqing;  Mu, Mu;  Dijkstra, Henk A.
Adobe PDF(1818Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：270/0  |  提交时间：2016/09/19
Circulation  Dynamics  Meridional Overturning Circulation  Nonlinear Dynamics  Variability  Multidecadal Variability  
A new application of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation approach to boundary condition uncertainty 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2015, 卷号: 120, 期号: 12, 页码: 7979-7996
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1122Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：235/1  |  提交时间：2016/05/03
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Uncertainties  Boundary Condition  Deep Chlorophyll Maximum  
Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2015, 卷号: 2, 期号: 2, 页码: 226-236
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Chen, Dake;  Yu, Weidong
Adobe PDF(436Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：266/3  |  提交时间：2015/07/27
Atmosphere  Ocean  Predictability  Target Observation  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：268/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Study on the "winter persistence barrier" of Indian Ocean dipole events using observation data and CMIP5 model outputs 期刊论文
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 卷号: 118, 期号: 3, 页码: 523-534
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, LASG, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(3443Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：213/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11