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A multi-model prediction system for ENSO 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2023, 页码: 10
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Song, Xunshu;  Gao, Chuan;  Tao, Lingjiang;  Tang, Youmin;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Chen, Dake
收藏  |  浏览/下载：51/0  |  提交时间：2023/12/13
MME  ENSO  Prediction  
Exploring sensitive area in the tropical Indian Ocean for El Nino prediction: implication for targeted observation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2020, 卷号: 38, 期号: 6, 页码: 1602-1615
作者:  Zhou Qian;  Duan Wansuo;  Hu Junya
Adobe PDF(1376Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：143/0  |  提交时间：2021/04/21
tropical Indian Ocean  El Niñ  o prediction  sensitive area  targeted observation  
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
Adobe PDF(3621Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：250/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：381/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
作者:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
Adobe PDF(817Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：215/2  |  提交时间：2018/01/11
Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast  
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 卷号: 48, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1173-1185
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5307Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：230/0  |  提交时间：2017/04/05
Indian Ocean Dipole  Sensitive Areas  Winter Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  
Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2015, 卷号: 2, 期号: 2, 页码: 226-236
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Chen, Dake;  Yu, Weidong
Adobe PDF(436Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：266/3  |  提交时间：2015/07/27
Atmosphere  Ocean  Predictability  Target Observation  
Influence of positive and negative Indian Ocean Dipoles on ENSO via the Indonesian Throughflow: Results from sensitivity experiments 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2015, 卷号: 32, 期号: 6, 页码: 783-793
作者:  Zhou Qian;  Duan Wansuo;  Mu Mu;  Feng Rong
Adobe PDF(2994Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：211/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/15
Iod  Pacific Ocean  Enso  Indonesian Throughflow  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：267/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Study on the "winter persistence barrier" of Indian Ocean dipole events using observation data and CMIP5 model outputs 期刊论文
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 卷号: 118, 期号: 3, 页码: 523-534
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, LASG, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(3443Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：211/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11