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The Optimal Precursors for ENSO Events Depicted Using the Gradient-definition-based Method in an Intermediate Coupled Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 卷号: 36, 期号: 12, 页码: 1381-1392
作者:  Mu, Bin;  Ren, Juhui;  Yuan, Shijin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Chen, Lei;  Gao, Chuan
Adobe PDF(1429Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:170/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/21
optimal precursor  ENSO  gradient-definition-based method  conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation  intermediate coupled model  
ENSO Predictions in an Intermediate Coupled Model Influenced by Removing Initial Condition Errors in Sensitive Areas: A Target Observation Perspective 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 7, 页码: 853-867
作者:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Adobe PDF(1354Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:342/0  |  提交时间:2019/08/21
El Nino prediction  initial condition errors  target observations  
Initial error-induced optimal perturbations in ENSO predictions, as derived from an intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 34, 期号: 6, 页码: 791-803
作者:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Gao, Chuan
Adobe PDF(1934Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:262/0  |  提交时间:2017/09/29
El Nino Predictability  Initial Errors  Intermediate Coupled Model  Spring Predictability Barrier  
Optimal precursors triggering the Kuroshio Extension state transition obtained by the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation approach 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 34, 期号: 6, 页码: 685-699
作者:  Zhang, Xing;  Mu, Mu;  Wang, Qiang;  Pierini, Stefano
Adobe PDF(9596Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:255/0  |  提交时间:2017/09/29
Kuroshio Extension  States Transition  Cnop Approach  Optimal Precursor  Ocean Modeling  
Role of parameter errors in the spring predictability barrier for ENSO events in the Zebiak-Cane model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2014, 卷号: 31, 期号: 3, 页码: 647-656
作者:  Yu Liang;  Mu Mu;  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, M (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(500Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:208/0  |  提交时间:2015/06/11
Enso Predictability  Spring Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  Parameter Errors  Error Growth  
Can Adaptive Observations Improve Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts? 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2014, 卷号: 31, 期号: 2, 页码: 252-262
作者:  Qin Xiaohao;  Mu Mu;  Qin, XH (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2793Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:183/0  |  提交时间:2015/06/11
Adaptive Observation  Tropical Cyclone  Intensity Forecast  Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  
The roles of spatial locations and patterns of initial errors in the uncertainties of tropical cyclone forecasts 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2012, 卷号: 29, 期号: 1, 页码: 63-78
作者:  Chen Boyu;  Mu Mu;  Mu, M (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Wave, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(1166Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:185/0  |  提交时间:2013/09/24
Sensitive Area  Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Cnop  Uncertainty Of Initial Conditions  Nonlinear Development  
Response of a Grassland Ecosystem to Climate Change in a Theoretical Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2011, 卷号: 28, 期号: 6, 页码: 1266-1278
作者:  Sun Guodong;  Mu Mu
Adobe PDF(860Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:193/2  |  提交时间:2012/07/03
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Parameter Perturbation  Cnop-p  Grassland Ecosystem  Climate Change  
Optimal Perturbations Triggering Weather Regime Transitions: Onset of Blocking and Strong Zonal Flow 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2011, 卷号: 28, 期号: 1, 页码: 59-68
作者:  Jiang Zhina;  Mu Mu;  Wang Donghai
Adobe PDF(1655Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:189/1  |  提交时间:2012/07/03
Linear Approximation  Symmetry  Nonlinearity  Asymmetry  
Algorithm Studies on How to Obtain a Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation (CNOP) 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2010, 卷号: 27, 期号: 6, 页码: 1311-1321
作者:  Sun Guodong;  Mu Mu;  Zhang Yale
Adobe PDF(537Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:163/1  |  提交时间:2010/12/24
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Constrained Optimization Problem  Unconstrained Optimization Problem