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Optimally growing initial error for predicting the sudden shift in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport and its application to targeted observation 期刊论文
OCEAN DYNAMICS, 2022, 页码: 16
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Zhang, Kun;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5567Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：104/0  |  提交时间：2023/01/04
The Antarctic Circumpolar Current  Initial errors  CNOP  Targeted observation  Ocean prediction  
Optimal Precursors Triggering Sudden Shifts in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current Transport Through Drake Passage 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2021, 卷号: 126, 期号: 12, 页码: 19
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(4661Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：167/0  |  提交时间：2022/02/18
Antarctic Circumpolar Current  optimal precursors  short-range prediction  baroclinic instability  CNOP  
Predictability and error growth dynamics of the Kuroshio Extension state transition process in an eddy-resolving regional ocean model 期刊论文
OCEAN MODELLING, 2020, 卷号: 153, 页码: 13
作者:  Geng, Yu;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(11651Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：202/0  |  提交时间：2020/10/26
Kuroshio Extension  Predictability  Initial error  
Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 页码: 25
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Mu, Mu;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
Adobe PDF(10103Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：219/0  |  提交时间：2020/03/20
Primary MJO event  CNOP  Nonlinear moisture advection  Nonlinear optimal excitation  
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations of Moisture Triggering Primary MJO Initiation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 卷号: 46, 期号: 6, 页码: 3492-3501
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Mu, Mu;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
Adobe PDF(1388Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：240/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/28
Madden-Julian Oscillation  conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation  primary MJO initiation  optimal precursor  nonlinearity  
Planetary scale selection of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in an air-sea coupled dynamic moisture model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 卷号: 50, 期号: 9-10, 页码: 3441-3456
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Liu, Fei;  Mu, Mu;  Ren, Hong-Li
Adobe PDF(5930Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：242/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
MJO  Air-sea interaction  Positive-only heating  Planetary-scale selection  Coupled Kelvin-Rossby waves  Warm Pool  
Effects of Singular-Vector-Type Initial Errors on the Short-Range Prediction of Kuroshio Extension Transition Processes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 卷号: 30, 期号: 15, 页码: 5961-5983
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Tang, Youmin;  Pierini, Stefano;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(4838Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：224/0  |  提交时间：2017/09/29
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：266/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Similarities between optimal precursors for ENSO events and optimally growing initial errors in El Nio predictions 期刊论文
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2014, 卷号: 115, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 461-469
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Yu, Yanshan;  Xu, Hui;  Gong, Tingting;  Gong, TT (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Wave, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(900Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：179/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Effects of nonlinear physical processes on optimal error growth in predictability experiments of the Kuroshio Large Meander 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2013, 卷号: 118, 期号: 12, 页码: 6425-6436
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Dijkstra, Henk A.;  Mu, M
Adobe PDF(896Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：221/2  |  提交时间：2014/07/17
Error Growth  Kuroshio Large Meander  Cnop  Singular Vector