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Optimally growing initial error for predicting the sudden shift in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport and its application to targeted observation 期刊论文
OCEAN DYNAMICS, 2022, 页码: 16
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Zhang, Kun;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5567Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：106/0  |  提交时间：2023/01/04
The Antarctic Circumpolar Current  Initial errors  CNOP  Targeted observation  Ocean prediction  
Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration on Extended-Range Prediction of Strong and Long-Lasting Ural Blocking Events in Winter 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2022, 卷号: 127, 期号: 5, 页码: 15
作者:  Ma, Xueying;  Mu, Mu;  Dai, Guokun;  Han, Zhe;  Li, Chunxiang;  Jiang, Zhina
Adobe PDF(13412Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：134/0  |  提交时间：2022/07/15
Optimal Precursors Triggering Sudden Shifts in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current Transport Through Drake Passage 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2021, 卷号: 126, 期号: 12, 页码: 19
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(4661Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：169/0  |  提交时间：2022/02/18
Antarctic Circumpolar Current  optimal precursors  short-range prediction  baroclinic instability  CNOP  
New Indices for Better Understanding ENSO by Incorporating Convection Sensitivity to Sea Surface Temperature 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2020, 卷号: 33, 期号: 16, 页码: 7045-7061
作者:  Xie, Ruihuang;  Mu, Mu;  Fang, Xianghui
Adobe PDF(3002Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：196/0  |  提交时间：2021/04/12
Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 页码: 25
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Mu, Mu;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
Adobe PDF(10103Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：221/0  |  提交时间：2020/03/20
Primary MJO event  CNOP  Nonlinear moisture advection  Nonlinear optimal excitation  
Parameter Modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation Behaviors in BCC_CSM1.2: The Key Role of Moisture-Shallow Convection Feedback 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERE, 2019, 卷号: 10, 期号: 5, 页码: 26
作者:  Huang, Kai;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Liu, Xiangwen;  Ren, Pengfei;  Wei, Yuntao;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(32685Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：255/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
Madden-Julian Oscillation  moisture-convection feedback  parameter perturbation  eastward propagation  general circulation model  
Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations of Moisture Triggering Primary MJO Initiation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 卷号: 46, 期号: 6, 页码: 3492-3501
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Mu, Mu;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
Adobe PDF(1388Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：241/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/28
Madden-Julian Oscillation  conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation  primary MJO initiation  optimal precursor  nonlinearity  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：379/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
Planetary scale selection of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in an air-sea coupled dynamic moisture model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 卷号: 50, 期号: 9-10, 页码: 3441-3456
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Liu, Fei;  Mu, Mu;  Ren, Hong-Li
Adobe PDF(5930Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：246/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
MJO  Air-sea interaction  Positive-only heating  Planetary-scale selection  Coupled Kelvin-Rossby waves  Warm Pool  
Does Model Parameter Error Cause a Significant "Spring Predictability Barrier" for El Nino Events in the Zebiak-Cane Model? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2012, 卷号: 25, 期号: 4, 页码: 1263-1277
作者:  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, POB 9804, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(1384Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：325/0  |  提交时间：2013/09/24
Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Ocean-atmosphere Model  General-circulation Model  Sea-surface Temperature  Southern Oscillation  Coupled Model  Thermohaline Circulation  Enso Predictability  Initial Conditions  Data Assimilation