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A multi-model prediction system for ENSO 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2023, 页码: 10
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Song, Xunshu;  Gao, Chuan;  Tao, Lingjiang;  Tang, Youmin;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Chen, Dake
收藏  |  浏览/下载：50/0  |  提交时间：2023/12/13
MME  ENSO  Prediction  
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
Adobe PDF(3621Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：250/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：267/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Seasonal modulations of different impacts of two types of ENSO events on tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2013, 卷号: 40, 期号: 11-12, 页码: 2887-2902
作者:  Wang, Chunzai;  Li, Chunxiang;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Wang, CZ
Adobe PDF(3236Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：199/0  |  提交时间：2014/07/17
Behaviors of nonlinearities modulating the El Nio events induced by optimal precursory disturbances 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2013, 卷号: 40, 期号: 5-6, 页码: 1399-1413
作者:  Duan, Wansuo;  Yu, Yanshan;  Xu, Hui;  Zhao, Peng;  Duan, WS
Adobe PDF(1030Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：204/0  |  提交时间：2014/07/17
El Nino  Nonlinearity  Optimal Perturbation  
Contribution of the location and spatial pattern of initial error to uncertainties in El Nino predictions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2012, 卷号: 117, 页码: C06018
作者:  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Gong, Tingting;  Gong, TT (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Wave Studies, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(1637Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：245/0  |  提交时间：2013/09/24
Sea-surface Temperature  Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Singular Vector Analysis  Enso Predictability  Coupled Model  Thermohaline Circulation  Southern Oscillation  Optimal-growth  Stability  Sensitivity