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Effects of Wind Stress Uncertainty on Short-Term Prediction of the Kuroshio Extension State Transition Process 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2023, 卷号: 53, 期号: 12, 页码: 2751-2771
作者:  Zhang, Hui;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun;  Geng, Yu
Adobe PDF(13027Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：1/0  |  提交时间：2024/04/07
Wind  Forecast verification/skill  Numerical weather prediction/forecasting  Mesoscale models  
Optimally growing initial error for predicting the sudden shift in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport and its application to targeted observation 期刊论文
OCEAN DYNAMICS, 2022, 页码: 16
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Zhang, Kun;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5567Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：104/0  |  提交时间：2023/01/04
The Antarctic Circumpolar Current  Initial errors  CNOP  Targeted observation  Ocean prediction  
Influence of Arctic Sea Ice Concentration on Extended-Range Prediction of Strong and Long-Lasting Ural Blocking Events in Winter 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2022, 卷号: 127, 期号: 5, 页码: 15
作者:  Ma, Xueying;  Mu, Mu;  Dai, Guokun;  Han, Zhe;  Li, Chunxiang;  Jiang, Zhina
Adobe PDF(13412Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：134/0  |  提交时间：2022/07/15
Optimal Precursors Triggering Sudden Shifts in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current Transport Through Drake Passage 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2021, 卷号: 126, 期号: 12, 页码: 19
作者:  Zhou, Li;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(4661Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：168/0  |  提交时间：2022/02/18
Antarctic Circumpolar Current  optimal precursors  short-range prediction  baroclinic instability  CNOP  
The Optimal Precursor of El Nino in the GFDL CM2p1 Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2020, 卷号: 125, 期号: 3, 页码: 14
作者:  Yang, Zeyun;  Fang, Xianghui;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(4470Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：184/0  |  提交时间：2020/09/24
optimal precursor  ENSO  CNOP  GFDL CM2p1  PPSO  
A useful approach to sensitivity and predictability studies in geophysical fluid dynamics: conditional non-linear optimal perturbation 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2020, 卷号: 7, 期号: 1, 页码: 214-223
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Sun, Guodong
Adobe PDF(686Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：133/0  |  提交时间：2020/09/22
CNOP  non-linear optimization  atmosphere  ocean  
Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 页码: 25
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Mu, Mu;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
Adobe PDF(10103Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：221/0  |  提交时间：2020/03/20
Primary MJO event  CNOP  Nonlinear moisture advection  Nonlinear optimal excitation  
Parameter Modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation Behaviors in BCC_CSM1.2: The Key Role of Moisture-Shallow Convection Feedback 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERE, 2019, 卷号: 10, 期号: 5, 页码: 26
作者:  Huang, Kai;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Liu, Xiangwen;  Ren, Pengfei;  Wei, Yuntao;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(32685Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：255/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
Madden-Julian Oscillation  moisture-convection feedback  parameter perturbation  eastward propagation  general circulation model  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：378/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
The Nonlinear Optimal Triggering Perturbation of the Kuroshio Large Meander and Its Evolution in a Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2018, 卷号: 48, 期号: 8, 页码: 1771-1786
作者:  Liu, Xia;  Mu, Mu;  Wang, Qiang
Adobe PDF(8532Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：237/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/23
North Pacific Ocean  Nonlinear dynamics  Forecasting techniques  Primitive equations model  Interdecadal variability