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Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
Authors:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
Favorite  |  View/Download:9/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/29
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
非线性水汽-对流和海洋反馈在MJO事件形成中的作用 学位论文
理学博士, 中国科学院海洋研究所: 中国科学院大学, 2019
Authors:  魏云涛
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热带大气季节内振荡(mjo)  条件非线性最优扰动(cnop)  水汽反馈  海-气相互作用  Mjo行星尺度选择  非线性  非线性对流加热  原发型mjo事件  海洋反馈  水汽-对流反馈  
赤道Kelvin波在东印度洋的反射与透射 学位论文
理学博士, 中国科学院海洋研究所: 中国科学院大学, 2019
Authors:  胡晓悦
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赤道Kelvin波  东印度洋  印尼海  IOD  ENSO  
黑潮入侵南海的可预报性问题研究 学位论文
理学博士, 中国科学院海洋研究所: 中国科学院大学, 2019
Authors:  梁朋
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黑潮入侵南海,roms模式,条件非线性最优扰动方法,最优前期征兆,最快增长初始误差,目标观测  
Model parameter-related optimal perturbations and their contributions to El Nino prediction errors 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 52, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1425-1441
Authors:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Favorite  |  View/Download:14/0  |  Submit date:2019/05/15
Intermediate coupled model  CNOP approach  Model parameters  El Nino predictability  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
Authors:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:4/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
El Nino-Southern Oscillation complexity 期刊论文
NATURE, 2018, 卷号: 559, 期号: 7715, 页码: 535-545
Authors:  Timmermann, Axel;  An, Soon-Il;  Kug, Jong-Seong;  Jin, Fei-Fei;  Cai, Wenju;  Capotondi, Antonietta;  Cobb, Kim;  Lengaigne, Matthieu;  McPhaden, Michael J.;  Stuecker, Malte F.;  Stein, Karl;  Wittenberg, Andrew T.;  Yun, Kyung-Sook;  Bayr, Tobias;  Chen, Han-Ching;  Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu;  Dewitte, Boris;  Dommenget, Dietmar;  Grothe, Pamela;  Guilyardi, Eric;  Ham, Yoo-Geun;  Hayashi, Michiya;  Ineson, Sarah;  Kang, Daehyun;  Kim, Sunyong;  Kim, WonMoo;  Lee, June-Yi;  Li, Tim;  Luo, Jing-Jia;  McGregor, Shayne;  Planton, Yann;  Power, Scott;  Rashid, Harun;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Santoso, Agus;  Takahashi, Ken;  Todd, Alexander;  Wang, Guomin;  Wang, Guojian;  Xie, Ruihuang;  Yang, Woo-Hyun;  Yeh, Sang-Wook;  Yoon, Jinho;  Zeller, Elke;  Zhang, Xuebin
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An improved simulation of the 2015 El Nio event by optimally correcting the initial conditions and model parameters in an intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 卷号: 51, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 269-282
Authors:  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan
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The 2015 El Nino event  ICM  The CNOP-based approach  Optimal bias corrections to ICs and MPs  
ENSO Predictions in an Intermediate Coupled Model Influenced by Removing Initial Condition Errors in Sensitive Areas: A Target Observation Perspective 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 7, 页码: 853-867
Authors:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Adobe PDF(1354Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:2/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/21
El Nino prediction  initial condition errors  target observations  
The IOD-ENSO precursory teleconnection over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean: dynamics and long-term trends under global warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2018, 卷号: 36, 期号: 1, 页码: 4-19
Authors:  Yuan Dongliang;  Hu Xiaoyue;  Xu Peng;  Zhao Xia;  Masumoto, Yukio;  Han Weiqing
Adobe PDF(4518Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:1/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/21
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)  El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)  oceanic channel  Indonesian Throughflow  ENSO predictability