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非线性水汽-对流和海洋反馈在MJO事件形成中的作用 学位论文
理学博士, 中国科学院海洋研究所: 中国科学院大学, 2019
Authors:  魏云涛
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热带大气季节内振荡(mjo)  条件非线性最优扰动(cnop)  水汽反馈  海-气相互作用  Mjo行星尺度选择  非线性  非线性对流加热  原发型mjo事件  海洋反馈  水汽-对流反馈  
黑潮入侵南海的可预报性问题研究 学位论文
理学博士, 中国科学院海洋研究所: 中国科学院大学, 2019
Authors:  梁朋
Adobe PDF(15400Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:29/1  |  Submit date:2019/06/24
黑潮入侵南海,roms模式,条件非线性最优扰动方法,最优前期征兆,最快增长初始误差,目标观测  
Model parameter-related optimal perturbations and their contributions to El Nino prediction errors 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 52, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1425-1441
Authors:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
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Intermediate coupled model  CNOP approach  Model parameters  El Nino predictability  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
Authors:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
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ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
Optimal Initial Error Growth in the Prediction of the Kuroshio Large Meander Based on a High-resolution Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 11, 页码: 1362-1372
Authors:  Li, Xia;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
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Kuroshio large meander  predictability  ROMS  optimal initial error growth  
The Nonlinear Optimal Triggering Perturbation of the Kuroshio Large Meander and Its Evolution in a Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY, 2018, 卷号: 48, 期号: 8, 页码: 1771-1786
Authors:  Liu, Xia;  Mu, Mu;  Wang, Qiang
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North Pacific Ocean  Nonlinear dynamics  Forecasting techniques  Primitive equations model  Interdecadal variability  
An improved simulation of the 2015 El Nio event by optimally correcting the initial conditions and model parameters in an intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 卷号: 51, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 269-282
Authors:  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan
Adobe PDF(3230Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:4/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/21
The 2015 El Nino event  ICM  The CNOP-based approach  Optimal bias corrections to ICs and MPs  
ENSO Predictions in an Intermediate Coupled Model Influenced by Removing Initial Condition Errors in Sensitive Areas: A Target Observation Perspective 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 7, 页码: 853-867
Authors:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Adobe PDF(1354Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:2/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/21
El Nino prediction  initial condition errors  target observations  
Idealized Experiments for Optimizing Model Parameters Using a 4D-Variational Method in an Intermediate Coupled Model of ENSO 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 4, 页码: 410-422
Authors:  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Wu, Xinrong;  Sun, Jichang
Adobe PDF(1370Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:1/0  |  Submit date:2019/08/21
intermediate coupled model  ENSO modeling  4D-Var data assimilation system  optimization of model parameter and initial condition  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
Authors:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
Adobe PDF(817Kb)  |  Favorite  |  View/Download:49/2  |  Submit date:2018/01/11
Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast