A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study

IOCAS-IR > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study
	Wu, AM; Ni, YQ
	1999
发表期刊	ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
ISSN	0256-1530
卷号	16 期号:3 页码:405-418
摘要	A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model is designed, which consists of a global AGCM and a simple anomaly ocean model in the tropical Pacific. Retroactive experimental predictions initiated in each season from 1979 to 1994 are performed. Analyses indicate that: (1) The overall predictive capability of this model for SSTA over the central-eastern tropical Pacific can reach one year, and the error is not larger than 0.8 degrees C. (2) The prediction skill depends greatly on the season when forecasts start. However, the phenomenon of SPB (spring prediction barrier) is not found in the model. (3) The ensemble forecast method can effectively improve prediction results. A new initialization scheme is discussed.
关键词	El-nino System
学科领域	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
收录类别	sci
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/2554
专题	海洋环流与波动重点实验室
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, AM,Ni, YQ. A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study[J]. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,1999,16(3):405-418.
APA	Wu, AM,&Ni, YQ.(1999).A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study.ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,16(3),405-418.
MLA	Wu, AM,et al."A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study".ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 16.3(1999):405-418.

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