Dynamical Projections of the Mean and Extreme Wave Climate in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea

doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.844113

	Dynamical Projections of the Mean and Extreme Wave Climate in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea
	Li, Delei 1,2,3; Feng, Jianlong 4; Zhu, Yuchao1,2,3 ; Staneva, Joanna 5; Qi, Jifeng 1,2,3; Behrens, Arno 5; Lee, Donghyun 6; Min, Seung-Ki 7,8; Yin, Baoshu 1,2,3,9,10
	2022-02-17
发表期刊	FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
卷号	9 页码:16
通讯作者	Li, Delei(deleili@qdio.ac.cn) ; Yin, Baoshu(bsyin@qdio.ac.cn)
摘要	Few studies have focused on the projected future changes in wave climate in the Chinese marginal seas. For the first time, we investigate the projected changes of the mean and extreme wave climate over the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and East China Sea (BYE) during two future periods (2021-2050 and 2071-2100) under the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios from the WAM wave model simulations with a resolution of 0.1 degrees. This is currently the highest-resolution wave projection dataset available for the study domain. The wind forcings for WAM are from high-resolution (0.22 degrees) regional climate model (RCM) CCLM-MPIESM simulations. The multivariate bias-adjustment method based on the N-dimensional probability density function transform is used to correct the raw simulated significant wave height (SWH), mean wave period (MWP), and mean wave direction (MWD). The annual and seasonal mean SWH are generally projected to decrease (-0.15 to -0.01 m) for 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 under the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios, with statistical significance at a 0.1 level for most BYE in spring and for most of the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea in annual and winter/autumn mean. There is a significant decrease in the spring MWP for two future periods under both the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios. In contrast, the annual and summer/winter 99th percentile SWH are generally projected to increase for large parts of the study domain. Results imply that the projected changes in the mean and 99th percentile extreme waves are very likely related to projected changes in local mean and extreme surface wind speeds, respectively.
关键词	wave climate extreme wave multivariate bias adjustment climate projection Chinese marginal seas
DOI	10.3389/fmars.2022.844113
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[42176203] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42076022] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFA0604100] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB42000000] ; NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund[U1806227] ; Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Developement Program[KMI2020-01413]
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS记录号	WOS:000770637800001
出版者	FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
引用统计	被引频次：4[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/178435
专题	海洋生态与环境科学重点实验室
通讯作者	Li, Delei; Yin, Baoshu
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China 2.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Mega Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China 4.Tianjin Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Marine & Environm Sci, Tianjin, Peoples R China 5.Helmholtz Zentrum Hereon, Inst Coastal Syst Anal & Modeling, Geesthacht, Germany 6.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England 7.Pohang Univ Sci & Technol, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea 8.Yonsei Univ, Inst Convergence Res & Educ Adv Technol, Incheon, South Korea 9.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 10.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Engn Lab Marine Ranching, Qingdao, Peoples R China
第一作者单位	中国科学院海洋研究所
通讯作者单位	中国科学院海洋研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Delei,Feng, Jianlong,Zhu, Yuchao,et al. Dynamical Projections of the Mean and Extreme Wave Climate in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea[J]. FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE,2022,9:16.
APA	Li, Delei.,Feng, Jianlong.,Zhu, Yuchao.,Staneva, Joanna.,Qi, Jifeng.,...&Yin, Baoshu.(2022).Dynamical Projections of the Mean and Extreme Wave Climate in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea.FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE,9,16.
MLA	Li, Delei,et al."Dynamical Projections of the Mean and Extreme Wave Climate in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea".FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE 9(2022):16.

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