Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios

doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06045-8

IOCAS-IR > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios
	Hao, Jiajia 1,2,4; Yuan, Dongliang1,2,3,4,5,6 ; Tian, Di 7; Su, Jian 8; Pohlmann, Thomas 9
	2021-11-23
发表期刊	CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN	0930-7575
页码	21
通讯作者	Yuan, Dongliang(dyuan@qdio.ac.cn)
摘要	The cross-shelf exchange between the Yellow and East China Seas (YECS) with the Kuroshio is important for vorticity, freshwater, and effluence balances of the regional and global oceans, the responses of which to future climate changes are estimated based on Max-Planck coupled model simulations under one historical (20C, 1970-2005) and two representative concentration pathway scenarios of global warming (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) from 2006 to 2099. The results of the 20C simulation have shown prominent cross-shelf transports in the YECS, with annual mean outflow (OVT) and inflow (IVT) volume transports across the 100 m isobath of 3.97 Sv and 2.86 Sv (1 Sv = 10(6) m(3) s(-1)), respectively. These annual mean OVTs (and their equivalent IVTs) are projected to increase by 0.42 Sv and 0.48 Sv from 2006 to 2099, at rates of 11.0% and 12.8% from the 2006-2016 means, under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The maximum rates of increase are found in winter to be at 13.2% and 19.9%, respectively. Analyses suggest that the winter monsoon has a long-term southwesterly change, forcing coastal currents to flow into the Yellow Sea along the China coasts to compensate for the increase of the southeastward surface Ekman transport. Due to increases of the Tsushima Strait and upper-layer Kuroshio transports, both the OVT and IVT across the 200 m isobath have onshore changes, resulting in net onshore transport increments of 0.30 Sv and 0.57 Sv under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. The enhanced cross-shelf exchanges under future warming scenarios in the YECS suggest their potential importance in carbon transportation and storage.
关键词	Cross-shelf transport Yellow and East China Seas RCP 4 5 RCP 8 5
DOI	10.1007/s00382-021-06045-8
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[91858204] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41576016] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41720104008] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2020YFA0608800] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2019YFC1509102] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB42000000] ; QMSNL[2018SDKJ0104-02] ; Kunpeng Outstanding Scholar Project of the FIO/MNR of China
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000721669300002
出版者	SPRINGER
引用统计	被引频次：3[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/177249
专题	海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者	Yuan, Dongliang
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Marine Sci & Numer Modeling, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao, Peoples R China 4.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Qingdao, Peoples R China 5.Shandong Key Lab Marine Sci & Numer Modeling, Qingdao, Peoples R China 6.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 7.Minist Nat Resources, State Key Lab Satellite Ocean Environm Dynam, Inst Oceanog 2, Hangzhou, Peoples R China 8.Danish Meteorol Inst, Lyngbyvej 100, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark 9.Univ Hamburg, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Inst Oceanog, Hamburg, Germany
第一作者单位	中国科学院海洋研究所; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
通讯作者单位	中国科学院海洋研究所; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hao, Jiajia,Yuan, Dongliang,Tian, Di,et al. Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2021:21.
APA	Hao, Jiajia,Yuan, Dongliang,Tian, Di,Su, Jian,&Pohlmann, Thomas.(2021).Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,21.
MLA	Hao, Jiajia,et al."Long-term changes of cross-shelf transports in the Yellow and East China Seas under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios".CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021):21.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	文献类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
Hao2021_Article_Long（16830KB）	期刊论文	出版稿	限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览