Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed

doi:10.1007/s00343-020-9306-3

IOCAS-IR > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed
	Guo Yunxia 1,2,4; Hou Yijun 1,2,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4
	2020-04-21
发表期刊	JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
ISSN	2096-5508
页码	17
通讯作者	Hou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn)
摘要	Typhoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast. A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model, and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin. The influences of typhoon decay model, track model, and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated. We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed. Over most of the southeast coast of China, the predicted wind speed by the non-simplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model. The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different. Four super typhoons Meranti (2016), Hato (2017), Mangkhut (2018) and Lekima (2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard.
关键词	typhoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period
DOI	10.1007/s00343-020-9306-3
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060202] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060502]
WOS研究方向	Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS类目	Limnology ; Oceanography
WOS记录号	WOS:000565844500002
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
引用统计	被引频次：4[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168532
专题	海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者	Hou Yijun
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
第一作者单位	海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
通讯作者单位	海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2020:17.
APA	Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2020).Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,17.
MLA	Guo Yunxia,et al."Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY (2020):17.

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Typhoon wind hazard （3701KB）	期刊论文	出版稿	限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览