IOCAS-IR  > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed
Guo Yunxia1,2,4; Hou Yijun1,2,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4
2020-04-21
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
ISSN2096-5508
Pages17
Corresponding AuthorHou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn)
AbstractTyphoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast. A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model, and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin. The influences of typhoon decay model, track model, and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated. We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed. Over most of the southeast coast of China, the predicted wind speed by the non-simplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model. The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different. Four super typhoons Meranti (2016), Hato (2017), Mangkhut (2018) and Lekima (2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard.
Keywordtyphoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period
DOI10.1007/s00343-020-9306-3
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060202] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060502]
WOS Research AreaMarine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS SubjectLimnology ; Oceanography
WOS IDWOS:000565844500002
PublisherSCIENCE PRESS
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168532
Collection海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Corresponding AuthorHou Yijun
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2020:17.
APA Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2020).Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,17.
MLA Guo Yunxia,et al."Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY (2020):17.
Files in This Item:
File Name/Size DocType Version Access License
Typhoon wind hazard (3701KB)期刊论文出版稿开放获取CC BY-NC-SAView
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Guo Yunxia]'s Articles
[Hou Yijun]'s Articles
[Qi Peng]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Guo Yunxia]'s Articles
[Hou Yijun]'s Articles
[Qi Peng]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Guo Yunxia]'s Articles
[Hou Yijun]'s Articles
[Qi Peng]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
File name: Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed.pdf
Format: Adobe PDF
This file does not support browsing at this time
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.