Institutional Repository of Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
| Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed | |
Guo Yunxia1,2,4; Hou Yijun1,2,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4
| |
| 2020-04-21 | |
| Source Publication | JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
 |
| ISSN | 2096-5508 |
| Pages | 17 |
| Corresponding Author | Hou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn) |
| Abstract | Typhoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast. A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model, and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin. The influences of typhoon decay model, track model, and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated. We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed. Over most of the southeast coast of China, the predicted wind speed by the non-simplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model. The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different. Four super typhoons Meranti (2016), Hato (2017), Mangkhut (2018) and Lekima (2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard. |
| Keyword | typhoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00343-020-9306-3 |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060202] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060502] |
| WOS Research Area | Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography |
| WOS Subject | Limnology ; Oceanography |
| WOS ID | WOS:000565844500002 |
| Publisher | SCIENCE PRESS |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168532 |
| Collection | 海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
| Corresponding Author | Hou Yijun |
| Affiliation | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China |
| First Author Affilication | Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| Corresponding Author Affilication | Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2020:17. |
| APA | Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2020).Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,17. |
| MLA | Guo Yunxia,et al."Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY (2020):17. |
| Files in This Item: | ||||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | ||
| Typhoon wind hazard （3701KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View | |
Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.
Edit Comment