Institutional Repository of Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed | |
Guo Yunxia1,2,4; Hou Yijun1,2,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4 | |
2020-04-21 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY |
ISSN | 2096-5508 |
页码 | 17 |
通讯作者 | Hou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn) |
摘要 | Typhoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast. A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model, and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin. The influences of typhoon decay model, track model, and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated. We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed. Over most of the southeast coast of China, the predicted wind speed by the non-simplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model. The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different. Four super typhoons Meranti (2016), Hato (2017), Mangkhut (2018) and Lekima (2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard. |
关键词 | typhoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period |
DOI | 10.1007/s00343-020-9306-3 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060202] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060502] |
WOS研究方向 | Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography |
WOS类目 | Limnology ; Oceanography |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000565844500002 |
出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168532 |
专题 | 海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
通讯作者 | Hou Yijun |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China |
第一作者单位 | 海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心 |
通讯作者单位 | 海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2020:17. |
APA | Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2020).Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,17. |
MLA | Guo Yunxia,et al."Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY (2020):17. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Typhoon wind hazard (3701KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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