IOCAS-IR  > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia
Li, Delei1,2,3; Feng, Jianlong4; Dosio, Alessandro5; Qi, Jifeng1,2,3; Xu, Zhenhua1,2,3; Yin, Baoshu1,2,3,6
2020-08-16
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN2169-897X
Volume125Issue:15Pages:18
AbstractCountries in East Asia have set ambitious goals for the development of wind energy to meet the increasing energy demand and to mitigate anthropogenic climate change. However, few studies have investigated changes in wind energy over East Asia under future climatic conditions. In this study, we investigate future changes of 100-m wind speed and wind energy potential over the CORDEX-East Asia region under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario, by using ensemble simulations from the regional climate model Consortium for small-scale modeling in CLimate Mode (CCLM). A multivariate bias adjustment method based on the N-dimensional probability density function transform is used to correct raw simulated horizontal wind components. The comparison between future climate (2021-2050 and 2070-2099) and the present climate (1971-2000) shows decreases in wind speed, wind power density, and wind energy output over most of the CORDEX-East Asia region, especially in the tropics. Projected increases are pronounced over the Himalayan regions, the Indo-China Peninsula, the South China Sea, and the western Pacific Ocean in summer and over northeastern China, parts of Western China and the Indo-China Peninsula in winter. Interannual and intra-annual variability of wind power density are projected to intensify significantly for most of the CORDEX-East Asia region. The occurrence of weak wind speeds (<3 m/s) is projected to increase, while strong wind speeds (>11 m/s) are projected to decrease over most of the ocean.
Keywordwind energy climate projection CORDEX-East Asia bias adjustment regional climate modeling CCLM
DOI10.1029/2020JD032874
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91858103] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFA0604100] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB42000000] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA22050202] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China-Shandong Joint Fund[U1806227] ; National Key Research and Development Plan-Sino-Australian Center for Healthy Coasts[2016YFE0101500]
WOS Research AreaMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS SubjectMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000562078700018
PublisherAMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Version出版稿
Identifierhttp://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168283
Collection海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Corresponding AuthorXu, Zhenhua; Yin, Baoshu
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China
2.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol Qingdao, Qingdao, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao, Peoples R China
4.Tianjin Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Marine & Environm Sci, Tianjin, Peoples R China
5.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy
6.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationInstitute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationInstitute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Delei,Feng, Jianlong,Dosio, Alessandro,et al. Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2020,125(15):18.
APA Li, Delei,Feng, Jianlong,Dosio, Alessandro,Qi, Jifeng,Xu, Zhenhua,&Yin, Baoshu.(2020).Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,125(15),18.
MLA Li, Delei,et al."Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100-m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX-East Asia".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 125.15(2020):18.
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