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Modelling spatiotemporal trends in range shifts of marine commercial fish species driven by climate change surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula
Zhu, Yugui1,8; Zheng, Shiyao1; Reygondeau, Gabriel2,3; Zhang, Zhixin4; Chu, Jiansong5,8; Hong, Xuguang6; Wang, Yunfeng7; Cheung, William W. L.3
2020-10-01
Source PublicationSCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
Volume737Pages:13
AbstractIn recent decades, the relationships between species distributional shifts and climate change have been investigated at various geographic scales, yet there is still a gap in understanding the impacts of climate change on marine commercial fish species surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula. The dynamic bioclimate envelope model (DBEM) is a mechanistic model that encompass species distribution model and population dynamic model approaches to project the spatiotemporal change of marine commercial fish species driven by various climate change scenarios in the Southern Ocean. This paper focuses on the spatiotemporal changes of marine commercial fish species surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5) and a low emissions scenario (REP2.6) from 1970 W 2060 following three different Earth System Models (ESMs), namely, the GFDL-ESM 2G, IPSL-CM5A-MR and MPI-ESM-MR. Results reveal that: i) The general latitudinal gradient patterns in species richness shifts poleward associated with a global abundance decrease ii) The Spp. richness in Eastern Antarctic Peninsula (EAP) is higher than in the Western Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) at the same latitude (>6.5 degrees S latitude). iii) The reasons are that the krill-dependent predators in WAP could face a higher risk of depletion than that in EAP clue to ocean warming and anthropogenic activities. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
KeywordClimate change Species richness Abundance and redistribution Range shift Extinction and invasion DBEM
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140258
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding Project(Chinese Arctic and Antarctic Administration) ; (Key Special Project for Introduced Talents Team of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory Guangzhou)[GML2019ZD0402]
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000553716900007
PublisherELSEVIER
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Version出版稿
Identifierhttp://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/168073
Collection中国科学院海洋研究所
Corresponding AuthorChu, Jiansong; Cheung, William W. L.
Affiliation1.Ocean Univ China, Coll Fisheries, Qingdao 266003, Peoples R China
2.Yale Univ, Yale Ctr Biodivers Movement & Global Change, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol Max Planck, New Haven, CT USA
3.Univ British Columbia, Inst Oceans & Fisheries, Changing Ocean Res Unit, Vancouver, BC, Canada
4.Tokyo Univ Marine Sci & Technol, Grad Sch Marine Sci & Technol, Minato Ku, Tokyo 1088477, Japan
5.Ocean Univ China, Coll Marine Life Sci, Qingdao 266003, Shandong, Peoples R China
6.Minist Nat Resources, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao 266061, Shandong, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China
8.Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab, Guangzhou 511458, Guangdong, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhu, Yugui,Zheng, Shiyao,Reygondeau, Gabriel,et al. Modelling spatiotemporal trends in range shifts of marine commercial fish species driven by climate change surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2020,737:13.
APA Zhu, Yugui.,Zheng, Shiyao.,Reygondeau, Gabriel.,Zhang, Zhixin.,Chu, Jiansong.,...&Cheung, William W. L..(2020).Modelling spatiotemporal trends in range shifts of marine commercial fish species driven by climate change surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,737,13.
MLA Zhu, Yugui,et al."Modelling spatiotemporal trends in range shifts of marine commercial fish species driven by climate change surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 737(2020):13.
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