Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation

doi:10.1007/s00343-019-8231-9

IOCAS-IR > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation
	Guo Yunxia 1,2,4; Hou Yijun 1,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4
	2019-11-01
发表期刊	JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
ISSN	2096-5508
卷号	37 期号:6 页码:1994-2013
通讯作者	Hou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn) ; Qi Peng(pqi@qdio.ac.cn)
摘要	As one of the most serious natural disasters, many typhoons affect southeastern China every year. Taking Shenzhen, a coastal city in southeast China as an example, we employed a Monte-Carlo simulation to generate a large number of virtual typhoons for wind hazard analysis. By analyzing 67-year historical typhoons data from 1949 to 2015 using the Best Track Dataset for Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific recorded by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration (CMA-STI), typhoon characteristic parameters were extracted and optimal statistical distributions established for the parameters in relation to Shenzhen. We employed the Monte-Carlo method to sample each distribution to generate the characteristic parameters of virtual typhoons. In addition, the Yan Meng (YM) wind field model was introduced, and the sensitivity of the YM model to several parameters discussed. Using the YM wind field model, extreme wind speeds were extracted from the virtual typhoons. The extreme wind speeds for different return periods were predicted and compared with the current structural code to provide improved wind load information for wind-resistant structural design.
关键词	typhoon hazard analysis Monte-Carlo simulation wind field model extreme wind speed
DOI	10.1007/s00343-019-8231-9
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1706216] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005]
WOS研究方向	Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS类目	Limnology ; Oceanography
WOS记录号	WOS:000495243300018
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
引用统计	被引频次：9[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/164914
专题	海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者	Hou Yijun; Qi Peng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Shandong, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China
第一作者单位	海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
通讯作者单位	海洋环流与波动重点实验室; 中国科学院海洋大科学研究中心
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2019,37(6):1994-2013.
APA	Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2019).Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,37(6),1994-2013.
MLA	Guo Yunxia,et al."Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY 37.6(2019):1994-2013.

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