IOCAS-IR  > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation
Guo Yunxia1,2,4; Hou Yijun1,3,4; Qi Peng1,3,4
2019-11-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY
ISSN2096-5508
Volume37Issue:6Pages:1994-2013
Corresponding AuthorHou Yijun(yjhou@qdio.ac.cn) ; Qi Peng(pqi@qdio.ac.cn)
AbstractAs one of the most serious natural disasters, many typhoons affect southeastern China every year. Taking Shenzhen, a coastal city in southeast China as an example, we employed a Monte-Carlo simulation to generate a large number of virtual typhoons for wind hazard analysis. By analyzing 67-year historical typhoons data from 1949 to 2015 using the Best Track Dataset for Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific recorded by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration (CMA-STI), typhoon characteristic parameters were extracted and optimal statistical distributions established for the parameters in relation to Shenzhen. We employed the Monte-Carlo method to sample each distribution to generate the characteristic parameters of virtual typhoons. In addition, the Yan Meng (YM) wind field model was introduced, and the sensitivity of the YM model to several parameters discussed. Using the YM wind field model, extreme wind speeds were extracted from the virtual typhoons. The extreme wind speeds for different return periods were predicted and compared with the current structural code to provide improved wind load information for wind-resistant structural design.
Keywordtyphoon hazard analysis Monte-Carlo simulation wind field model extreme wind speed
DOI10.1007/s00343-019-8231-9
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Funding ProjectNational Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402004] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFC1407003] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1706216] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U1606402] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41421005]
WOS Research AreaMarine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS SubjectLimnology ; Oceanography
WOS IDWOS:000495243300018
PublisherSCIENCE PRESS
Citation statistics
Cited Times:2[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/164914
Collection海洋环流与波动重点实验室
Corresponding AuthorHou Yijun; Qi Peng
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Lab Ocean & Climate Dynam, Qingdao 266237, Shandong, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Megasci, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,Qi Peng. Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation[J]. JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,2019,37(6):1994-2013.
APA Guo Yunxia,Hou Yijun,&Qi Peng.(2019).Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation.JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY,37(6),1994-2013.
MLA Guo Yunxia,et al."Analysis of typhoon wind hazard in Shenzhen City by Monte-Carlo Simulation".JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY 37.6(2019):1994-2013.
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