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Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China
Feng, Jianlong1; Li, Huan1; Li, Delei2,3; Liu, Qiulin1; Wang, Hui1; Liu, Kexiu1
2018-11-27
发表期刊FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE
ISSN2296-6463
卷号6页码:9
通讯作者Feng, Jianlong(jianlongf@hotmail.com)
摘要Using hourly sea level data from 15 tide gauges along the Chinese coast and sea level data of three simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), we assessed the changes and benefits of the extreme sea level of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees C instead of 2.0 degrees C. Observations show that the extreme sea level has risen with high confidence during the past decades along the coast of China, while the mean sea level change, especially the long-term change plays important roles in the changing process of extreme sea levels. Under the 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios, the sea level will rise with fluctuations in the future, so will the return levels of the extreme sea levels. Compared with the 1.5 degrees C warming condition, the return levels under the 2.0 degrees C warming condition will rise significantly at all tide gauges along the Chinese coast. The results indicate that a 0.5 degrees C warming will bring much difference to the extreme sea levels along the coast of China. It is of great necessity to limit anthropogenic warming to 1.5 degrees C rather than 2.0 degrees C, as proposed by the Paris Climate Agreement, which will greatly reduce the potential risks of future flood disasters along the coast of China and is beneficial for risk response management.
关键词extreme sea level return sea level sea level rise projection strom surge
DOI10.3389/feart.2018.00216
收录类别SCI
语种英语
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706020] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41406032] ; Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting ; [2016YFC1401900] ; [2017YFC1404200] ; [2017YFA0604101] ; [2017YFA0604102] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706020] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41406032] ; Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting ; [2016YFC1401900] ; [2017YFC1404200] ; [2017YFA0604101] ; [2017YFA0604102]
WOS研究方向Geology
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号WOS:000454098300001
出版者FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
引用统计
被引频次:4[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/155781
专题海洋环流与波动重点实验室
通讯作者Feng, Jianlong
作者单位1.Natl Marine Data & Informat Serv, Tianjin, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao, Peoples R China
3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Funct Lab Ocean Dynam & Climate, Qingdao, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Feng, Jianlong,Li, Huan,Li, Delei,et al. Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China[J]. FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,2018,6:9.
APA Feng, Jianlong,Li, Huan,Li, Delei,Liu, Qiulin,Wang, Hui,&Liu, Kexiu.(2018).Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China.FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,6,9.
MLA Feng, Jianlong,et al."Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China".FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE 6(2018):9.
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