Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation | |
Liu, Jingya1; Li, Jing1; Qin, Keyu2; Zhou, Zixiang3; Yang, Xiaonan1; Li, Ting1 | |
2017-05-15 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT |
卷号 | 586页码:522-526 |
文章类型 | Article |
摘要 | Social economy of China has been rapidly developing for more than 30 years with efficient reforms and policies being issued. Societal developments have resulted in a greater use of many natural resources to the extent that the ecosystem can no longer self-regulate, thus severely damaging the balance of the ecosystem itself. This in turn has led to a deterioration in people's living environments. Our research is based on a combination of climate scenarios presented in the fifth report of the Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and policy scenarios, including the one-child policy and carbon tax policy. We adopted Land Change Modeler of IDRISI software to simulate and analyze land-use change under 16 future scenarios in 2050. Carbon sequestration, soil conservation and water yields were quantified, based on those land-use maps and different ecosystem models. We also analyzed trade-offs and synergy among each ecosystem service and discussed why those interactions happened. The results show that: (1) Global climate change has a strong influence on future changes in land-use. (2) Carbon sequestration, water yield and soil conservation have a mutual relationship in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. (3) Climate change and implementation of policy have a conspicuous impact on the changes in ecosystem services in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. This paper can be used as a reference for further related research, and provide a reliable basis for achieving the sustainable development of the ecosystem. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
关键词 | Guanzhong-tianshui Economic Region Land-use Land Change Modeler Ecosystem Services Scenario |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.005 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000398758800051 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
版本 | 出版稿 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/136717 |
专题 | 海洋地质与环境重点实验室 |
作者单位 | 1.Shaanxi Normal Univ, Coll Tourism & Environm, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Marine Geol & Environm, Qingdao 266000, Shandong, Peoples R China 3.Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Geomat, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,et al. Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2017,586:522-526. |
APA | Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,Zhou, Zixiang,Yang, Xiaonan,&Li, Ting.(2017).Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,586,522-526. |
MLA | Liu, Jingya,et al."Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 586(2017):522-526. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Changes in land-uses(618KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论