IOCAS-IR  > 海洋地质与环境重点实验室
Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation
Liu, Jingya1; Li, Jing1; Qin, Keyu2; Zhou, Zixiang3; Yang, Xiaonan1; Li, Ting1
2017-05-15
Source PublicationSCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
Volume586Pages:522-526
SubtypeArticle
AbstractSocial economy of China has been rapidly developing for more than 30 years with efficient reforms and policies being issued. Societal developments have resulted in a greater use of many natural resources to the extent that the ecosystem can no longer self-regulate, thus severely damaging the balance of the ecosystem itself. This in turn has led to a deterioration in people's living environments. Our research is based on a combination of climate scenarios presented in the fifth report of the Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and policy scenarios, including the one-child policy and carbon tax policy. We adopted Land Change Modeler of IDRISI software to simulate and analyze land-use change under 16 future scenarios in 2050. Carbon sequestration, soil conservation and water yields were quantified, based on those land-use maps and different ecosystem models. We also analyzed trade-offs and synergy among each ecosystem service and discussed why those interactions happened. The results show that: (1) Global climate change has a strong influence on future changes in land-use. (2) Carbon sequestration, water yield and soil conservation have a mutual relationship in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. (3) Climate change and implementation of policy have a conspicuous impact on the changes in ecosystem services in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. This paper can be used as a reference for further related research, and provide a reliable basis for achieving the sustainable development of the ecosystem. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
KeywordGuanzhong-tianshui Economic Region Land-use Land Change Modeler Ecosystem Services Scenario
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.005
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000398758800051
Citation statistics
Cited Times:15[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Version出版稿
Identifierhttp://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/136717
Collection海洋地质与环境重点实验室
Affiliation1.Shaanxi Normal Univ, Coll Tourism & Environm, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Marine Geol & Environm, Qingdao 266000, Shandong, Peoples R China
3.Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Geomat, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,et al. Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2017,586:522-526.
APA Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,Zhou, Zixiang,Yang, Xiaonan,&Li, Ting.(2017).Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,586,522-526.
MLA Liu, Jingya,et al."Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 586(2017):522-526.
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